Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 406.343136 460.861940 521.119922 592.854490 676.174027 770.194293 884.736395
2026-01-25 318.867355 388.916981 473.104264 582.495038 721.977694 895.351704 1129.456856
2026-02-01 281.274644 359.861006 459.707160 597.365549 784.568117 1033.660461 1395.918913
2026-02-08 248.374708 329.998153 438.392831 595.157820 819.885546 1136.334178 1626.392001
2026-02-15 221.871046 304.250788 417.800313 588.848321 845.453975 1225.116536 1846.768622
2026-02-22 203.639238 287.276069 406.492479 592.862426 884.396458 1336.069846 2115.597110
2026-03-01 184.942413 267.331684 388.221777 583.414300 900.191887 1411.488862 2336.753644
2026-03-08 170.454055 251.981870 374.858943 579.332841 922.866240 1499.355657 2591.269906
2026-03-15 154.028362 232.061615 352.378306 557.818469 913.427369 1530.713451 2747.705668
2026-03-22 148.318224 228.242265 354.656014 576.876240 974.804090 1692.884975 3175.969080
2026-03-29 143.946567 226.070425 359.197694 599.928922 1045.576001 1881.242047 3689.405902
2026-04-05 136.073880 217.433820 352.116953 601.642502 1077.042031 1998.858219 4077.024735
2026-04-12 126.195920 204.859748 337.605183 589.102474 1081.212850 2065.791538 4373.252156
2026-04-19 117.457306 193.582461 324.438140 577.773904 1086.517411 2136.113399 4692.266636
2026-04-26 113.556826 190.366046 325.175594 592.646106 1145.934484 2328.499679 5340.087236
2026-05-03 107.544682 182.917343 317.578118 590.440130 1169.531951 2445.963325 5827.080272
2026-05-10 101.526339 175.001664 308.447256 584.190395 1183.582644 2543.632368 6283.594872
2026-05-17 97.330126 170.110135 304.573367 588.167697 1220.367212 2699.649119 6933.770983
2026-05-24 91.852926 162.440948 294.770545 578.805448 1225.895307 2780.959320 7390.987874
2026-05-31 87.426405 156.459924 287.795777 574.761000 1243.175698 2894.088319 7969.474105
2026-06-07 81.433523 147.092144 273.454833 553.441106 1217.104574 2892.309434 8194.447337
2026-06-14 80.131786 146.752309 277.189943 572.326661 1290.583096 3164.381322 9365.311880
2026-06-21 79.247269 147.161494 282.458969 595.169897 1376.947513 3486.871491 10800.700412